2013 potash fertilizer industry status analysis
In Kunming on March 27th, representatives from the Inorganic Salt Industry Association's Potash (Fertilizer) Branch, including 22 officials at or above the vice president level, gathered to discuss the current state of domestic potash resources, operational conditions of potash fertilizers, and proposed strategies for industry development. The meeting aimed to address key challenges and opportunities in the sector.
According to available data, China’s potash fertilizer production capacity reached 5.4 million tons of potassium oxide (equivalent to 8.57 million tons of potassium chloride) in 2012—an increase of 610,000 tons compared to 2011. Total domestic supply of potash was 16.63 million tons of potassium chloride, while apparent domestic demand stood at 12.53 million tons. Imports totaled 6.467 million tons, showing a slight rise from 6.41 million tons in the previous year.
Experts at the meeting noted that international potash importers have been expanding their production capacities rapidly. Currently, Europe has a capacity of 8 million tons, Russia 22 million tons, Belarus 12 million tons, and several other countries have launched large-scale projects, with total capacities expected to be fully operational by 2015. These developments signal a growing global supply, which could put pressure on domestic producers. Industry stakeholders are advised to prepare for increased competition in the coming years.
The head of the Potash (Fertilizer) Branch highlighted that after years of market fluctuations, the industry is now more mature. Representatives from the Salt Lake Group emphasized that the supply and demand balance for potassium chloride is relatively stable, although transportation issues have contributed to price increases. They also pointed out that supply-demand imbalances tend to occur during peak seasons.
A representative from Luo Kuo Company stated that potassium prices have likely hit a bottom, with the most difficult period behind them. Confidence in 2013 is gradually returning. With railway reforms, the industry faces higher freight cost pressures, making cost management a critical factor for companies. Domestic technology for anti-flotation and cold crystallization is comparable to foreign methods, and local products are generally more cost-effective than imports.
Industry insiders also noted that the market remains largely unchanged, but potassium carbonate prices have risen due to the relocation of the Wentong Group. Meanwhile, the potassium hydroxide industry has seen increased production capacity and strong demand.
To support the industry’s growth, the Potash (Fertilizer) Branch proposed seven key areas for improvement: first, increasing the utilization of seawater potassium resources and promoting the large-scale industrialization of insoluble potassium. Second, leveraging existing overseas potash enterprises and encouraging private investment in international projects. Third, maintaining traditional “Xuandi†import channels while exploring new ones. Fourth, launching a potash fertilizer price index. Fifth, improving data accuracy and verification for potash products. Sixth, supporting exports through reasonable tariff policies. Seventh, adjusting product structures for potassium carbonate and potassium hydroxide to enhance international competitiveness.
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